STATISTICAL PREVIEW: Hornchurch (A)

Introduction

Scunthorpe travel south on Saturday as they face Hornchurch at the Hornchurch Stadium ahead of a 17:30 kick-off.

Midweek results elsewhere mean Scunthorpe are out of the bottom four despite their 2-1 loss to Boreham Wood, while Hornchurch sit comfortably in 10th with four wins and four losses.

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Match Preview

Scunthorpe head into this fixture after a 1-2 home defeat to league leaders Boreham Wood.

Zak Brunt gave Boreham Wood the lead just after half-time, before Tyrell Sellars-Fleming equalised for the Iron on 57 minutes.

Hornchurch arrive on the back of a 1-0 defeat away at Worthing.

Ricky Aguiar scored the only goal of the game after six minutes, a result that condemns Hornchurch to their third successive league loss.

Scunthorpe United Form Guide

Scunthorpe’s home defeat to Boreham Wood came with only 26% of the ball, and they lost the xG battle 2.37 to 1.05.

The Iron had a pure possession time of 14 minutes compared to Boreham Wood’s 41 minutes.

Andy Butler’s side did threaten in terms of shooting, having 11 shots with four on target to Boreham Wood’s 16 shots with five on target.

Scunthorpe’s goal came from Tyrell Sellars-Fleming, whose 57th-minute header from a corner was worth 0.21 xG.

They also won 20 of 37 aerial duels (54%) and allowed Boreham Wood 28.6 passes per defensive action (PPDA), well above Boreham Wood's own figure of 7.90.

This result means Scunthorpe have won two and lost three of their last five.

Hornchurch Form Guide

Like Scunthorpe, Hornchurch gave up the majority of possession in their loss away at Worthing, having just 36% of the ball.

Hornchurch did have the better of the xG though, edging Worthing out 1.12 to 0.91.

The best chance for Daryl McMahon’s side fell to centre-back Ryan Inniss in the 60th minute, a header worth 0.25 xG.

Hornchurch also worked a shot from two of their four corners, and allowed Worthing 11.8 PPDA against Worthing's own figure of 9.4.

This is Hornchurch’s third loss on the bounce without scoring, after previous defeats to Halifax and Forest Green.

Tactical Insight

Set-pieces look like a fair place to focus for this one.

Scunthorpe’s only goal in their match against Boreham Wood came directly from a corner, and they turned three of their four corners into shots in that game.

Hornchurch's own numbers from set-pieces were productive too: two of their four corners at Worthing produced a shot, including Aaron Rowe's effort worth 0.22 xG.

Conclusion

Given Hornchurch’s run of games both losing and not scoring, this is a good chance for Andy Butler’s Scunthorpe to get back on track.

They had a solid showing against league leaders Boreham Wood, and will look to create further space between themselves and the bottom four.

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